Analysts: Worldwide IT Spending to Grow 5.5% in 2023 as Digital Transformation Continues

Spending on Devices Will Fall While Cloud Infrastructure Will See Significant Growth, Reports Say

• By Kristal Kuykendall
• 04/06/23

Worldwide IT spending is projected to increase 5.5% this year to a total of $4.6 trillion by the close of 2023, according to the latest forecast by market researchers at Gartner, who predict that continued economic disruptions will not impact the push for digital transformation. 

One of the areas in IT spending expected to see the most growth in spending is cloud infrastructure, according to International Data Corp.’s Worldwide Quarterly Enterprise Infrastructure Tracker: Buyer and Cloud Deployment. IDC said in the new report that it expects to see continuous strong demand for shared cloud infrastructure, which will surpass non-cloud infrastructure in spending this year for the first time. 

Spending on devices is projected to decline in 2023, as is spending on non-cloud infrastructure, IDC’s report said.

“Macroeconomic headwinds are not slowing digital transformation,” said John-David Lovelock, Research Vice President and analyst at Gartner. “IT spending will remain strong, even as many countries are projected to have near-flat gross domestic product growth and high inflation in 2023. Prioritization will be critical as CIOs look to optimize spend while using digital technology to transform the company’s value proposition, revenue and client interactions.”

Gartner’s report predicted that the software segment will see double-digit growth this year as enterprises prioritize spending to capture competitive advantages through increased productivity, automation and other software-driven transformation initiatives. Conversely, spending on devices will decline nearly 5% in 2023, Gartner said, as consumers defer device purchases due to declining purchasing power and a lack of incentive to buy.

IDC’s new report focuses on compute and storage cloud infrastructure spending, spending on compute and storage infrastructure products for cloud deployments, including dedicated and shared IT environments; IDC is forecasting such spending to grow 6.9% this year over 2022, reaching $93.7 billion by year’s end. The total spending projection represents a significant decrease from last year’s 19.4% annual growth, reflecting IDC’s “expectation that the market will face significant macroeconomic headwinds and curbed demand, with cloud staying positive due to the drive for modernization, opex focus, and continued growth in digital consumer services demand, while non-cloud spending contracts as enterprise customers shift towards capital preservation.”

IDC projects that non-cloud infrastructure spending will decline 10.3% to $59.8 billion in 2023. Spending on shared cloud infrastructure is expected to grow 7.5% year over year to $66.1 billion for the full year, while spending on dedicated cloud infrastructure is expected to grow 5.4% to $27.6 billion in 2023. 

Spending on cloud infrastructure continues to outgrow the non-cloud segment although the latter had strong growth in 4Q22 as well, increasing 9.4% year over year to $18.7 billion. The market “continues to benefit from high demand, large backlogs, rising prices, and an improving infrastructure supply chain,” IDC said. For the full year in 2022, spending on shared cloud infrastructure totaled $61.5 billion, growing 20.1% year over year. The dedicated cloud infrastructure segment grew 18.0% in 2022 to $26.2 billion. 

Long term, IDC predicts spending on cloud infrastructure to have a compound annual growth rate of 10.5% over the 2022-2027 forecast period, reaching $144.3 billion in 2027 and accounting for 67.6% of total compute and storage infrastructure spend. Shared cloud infrastructure will account for almost three-quarters of the total cloud spending, growing at a rate of 11% and reaching $103.5 billion in 2027, IDC projected. Spending on dedicated cloud infrastructure will grow by 9.3% CAGR to $40.7 billion, while spending on non-cloud infrastructure will grow at by 0.7%, reaching $69.0 billion in 2027, according to IDC. 

Gartner noted in its report that spending totals for the latter part of 2022 and projections for 2023 mirror “the split of technologies being maintained versus those driving the business.”

“CIOs face a balancing act that is evident in the dichotomies in IT spending,” said Gartner’s Lovelock. “For example, there is sufficient spending within data center markets to maintain existing on-premises data centers, but new spending has shifted to cloud options, as reflected in the growth in IT services.”

The IT services segment will continue its growth trajectory through 2024, largely driven by the infrastructure-as-a-service market, which is projected to reach over 30% growth this year, Gartner said. For the first time, price is a key driver of increased spend for cloud services segments, rather than just increased usage.

Tech Talent Shortages Continue Amidst Layoffs

A critical shortage of skilled IT labor persists even amid mass layoffs in the tech sector over recent months, according to the Gartner report, which projected the workforce shortages will continue until at least 2026.

“Tech layoffs do not mean that the IT talent shortage is over,” said Lovelock. “IT spending on internal services is slowing in all industries, and enterprises are not keep up with wage rate increases. As a result, enterprises will spend more money to retain fewer staff and will turn to IT services firms to fill in the gaps.”

Gartner’s IT spending forecast methodology relies heavily on rigorous analysis of the sales by over a thousand vendors across the entire range of IT products and services. Gartner uses primary research techniques, complemented by secondary research sources, to build a comprehensive database of market size data on which to base its forecast.

Learn more in the full reports, Gartner Market Databook, 1Q23 Update and Worldwide Quarterly Enterprise Infrastructure Tracker: Buyer and Cloud Deployment.